NYT/YouGov/CBS News polling: Perdue 44, Nunn 38

Battleground Tracker 2014: Georgia.

This is the results from the “second wave” of online polling. Their aggregate estimate is David Perdue 47% to Michelle Nunn (D) 38%.

Their weighting puts Black voters at 25% of the electorate. I disagree and have gone over why I think African-American voters are more likely to constitute about 30% of the electorate.

I think more than anything else, this reflects the difference between in-state pollsters, who are aware of what’s going on at the grassroots level, and someone in Washington or New York, assessing things from afar.