Fear of a Blue Georgia | National Review Online

“Barack Obama carried metropolitan Atlanta in 2008 and 2012, albeit by relatively narrow margins, and that he expects the minority share of eligible voters in 2012 to increase by 3.5 percentage points by 2016.

Barring some radical change in the political allegiance of black, Latino, and Asian voters in Georgia, this will tend to shave the GOP advantage in the state, making it winnable for the right Democratic candidate.

It is certainly possible that a more populist Republican candidate could win a larger share of Georgia’s white electorate and increase the white share of Georgia’s electorate by persuading 2012 fence-sitters to come to the polls.

Yet a more populist Republican would by definition be a candidate who embraced some brand of reform and modernization.”

via Fear of a Blue Georgia | National Review Online.