ATLANTA — The governor’s race remains tight but David Perdue now has a 10-point lead in the U.S. Senate contest, according to a poll released Friday.
Republican Nathan Deal holds support from 44 percent of the 1,167 likely voters surveyed Wednesday and Thursday by InsiderAdvantage. Democratic challenger Jason Carter has 40 percent, with a 3 percent margin of error. Libertarian Andrew Hunt has 7 percent, while 9 percent remain undecided..
The Senate election is widening, with Perdue rising to 50 percent against Democrat Michelle Nunn, who has 40 percent. Libertarian Amanda Swafford has 5 percent, with, 5 percent undecided.
On Monday, Atlanta TV station WXIA released a poll by SurveyUSA showing the governor’s race essentially tied. Deal had 45 percent to Carter’s 44 percent, with a 4 percent margin of error. In the Senate matchup, Perdue had 47 percent and Nunn 44 percent. The poll was conducted Sept. 5 of 558 likely voters.
A DeKalb County judge granted a request Friday by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Channel 2 Action News to make public about 38 documents that have been kept secret in the trial of suspended DeKalb CEO Burrell Ellis.
But Superior Court Judge Courtney Johnson didn’t follow through Friday, keeping the documents hidden at least until Monday. She hadn’t signed an order by the end of the business day, nearly six hours after she said in court she would unseal the records.
Prosecutors had sought to seal the records Aug. 22 because of concerns that media reports could taint potential jurors. On Friday, after a jury had been chosen, prosecutors didn’t oppose the AJC’s request to open the documents.
The AJC’s sought access to the records Monday in a legal filing that said the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution gives the public and the press the right to view trial records, and that a hearing should have been held before documents were sealed.
“The United States Supreme Court has emphasized that public access to judicial records and proceedings is critical to the effective functioning not only of the particular proceeding in question, but to our entire system of self-government,” according to the motion.
The notion that African-American turnout will be dramatically lower than 2010 and 2012 is clearly wrong.
You will notice that African-Americans account for 24 percent of the sample, whereas they formed 28 percent of the electorate in 2010 and 30 percent in 2012 — and Democrats are mounting a big mobilization effort in the hopes that the number stays closer to 30 in a midterm year.
The poll initially weighted African-Americans at 30 percent of the sample, then applied a fairly tight likely voter screen, removing respondents who indicated that they were less engaged in the race or less likely to vote. Once those respondents were filtered out, the African-American vote share shrank.
“A lot here is going to depend on turnout, and if this is any indication, the black vote overall is not fully mobilized at this point,” said Mark Schulman, chief research officer at Abt SRBI. “And that’s critical.”
While an earlier AJC poll released today showed David Perdue leading Michelle Nunn by 6, InsiderAdvantage pegs the GOPer with a much more formidable edge of 10 percentage points.
Released this afternoon, it shows Perdue leading his Democratic rival by a 50-40 percent margin, meeting the threshold necessary to avoid a runoff. Libertarian Amanda Swafford claims from 5 percent of respondents, with the remaining 5 percent undecided.
As for the governor’s race, it shows Governor Nathan Deal leading Jason Carter by a slightly larger 44-40 percent margin, with Libertarian Andrew Hunt taking 7 percent support.
In a release of the numbers, it was noted that the African-American turnout was weighted at 33 percent, a figure higher than the roughly 30 percent turnout predicted by many onlookers.
Georgia’s race for governor is in a dead heat, while Republican U.S. Senate hopeful David Perdue holds a small lead, according to a new poll of likely voters conducted for The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
Gov. Nathan Deal, a Republican, garners 43 percent of likely voters, while Democrat Jason Carter holds 42 percent and Libertarian Andrew Hunt brings in 7 percent, including voters who were leaning toward one candidate.
Perdue notched 45 percent, compared with 41 percent for Democrat Michelle Nunn and 6 percent for Libertarian Amanda Swafford, including leaners.
- See more at: http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2014/09/12/ajc-poll-governors-race-in-virtual-tie-david-perdue-has-slight-lead/#sthash.lR8vEKsy.dpuf
Rep. Austin Scott: Joins GA Delegation Members in Encouraging Teachers to Focus on “Constitution Day”
Your Washington – GA 8 – Desk
From Congressman Austin Scott
Congressman Austin Scott Joins Georgia Delegation Members in Encouraging Teachers to Focus on “Constitution Day”
U.S. Congressman Austin Scott (GA-08), together with Senators Saxby Chambliss and Johnny Isakson and Representatives Jack Kingston (GA-01), Lynn Westmoreland (GA-03), Doug Collins (GA-09), Paul Broun (GA-10), and Phil Gingrey (GA-11), encourage Georgia’s elementary and middle school teachers to take an hour out of their school day to educate students on the importance the U.S. Constitution in anticipation of Constitution Day, observed on September 17, 2014.
Sen. Saxby Chambliss:
“As citizens across the country commemorate Constitution Day, I urge Georgia’s educators and students to set aside time in the classroom to study our Constitution and the principles it represents. Much more than a document, our Constitution has endured throughout America’s history as the foundation of our democracy and protector of the freedoms and liberties we enjoy today. Understanding its contents and significance is critical to educating our youth and preserving the legacy of our Founding Fathers, who recognized that a constitutionally-limited government is key to ensuring our nation’s continued prosperity.”
Sen. Johnny Isakson:
“In honor of Constitution Day on September 17th, I encourage Georgians to read, study and learn the contents of the United States Constitution. I call on our educators, elected officials, community leaders and parents to educate our youth about the foundations of our great country and how the principles of the Constitution play out in our daily lives as Americans.”
Rep. Jack Kingston (GA-01):
“I invite Georgia’s educators to discuss the United States Constitution in their classrooms and for students to write to me with their reflections. This document is unique in the history of civilization and should be well-known to all Americans. Gathering in Philadelphia in 1787, the authors of the Constitution wisely crafted a system that respected state sovereignty and provided for a limited federal government. By following the debates of the Constitutional Convention, recognizing the compromises in the text, and understanding its role today, the students of Georgia would be well-informed citizens and more able to participate in their government.” (more…)
Consider this scenario: A new Congress convenes next Jan. 5, and Republicans have a one-seat majority in the U.S. Senate. The next day, however, the Republican advantage is wiped out. How?
Georgia. State law there requires a run-off if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote on Nov. 4. The Senate race, for a seat held by retiring Republican Saxby Chambliss, is between Democrat Michelle Nunn and Republican David Perdue. Polls show a tight race. In addition to Nunn and Perdue, the ballot will feature Libertarian candidate Amanda Swafford, so the top vote-getter could end up shy of 50 percent.
In the event a run-off is required, it would take place on Jan. 6, one day after the new Congress is slated to convene.
Georgia is considered the Democrats’ best chance to win a seat currently held by a Republican. A victory there would mitigate Democratic losses sure to accrue elsewhere on the Senate map. If the Republicans win a net of six seats, they will have a Senate majority next year.
Senate run-offs are rare, but not unknown, in Georgia. In 1992 incumbent Democratic Senator Wyche Fowler fell just short of a majority on Election Day in November. The run-off was held three weeks later. Fowler was defeated by Republican Paul Coverdell.
Democrats are playing offense in Georgia and Kentucky in their fight to maintain control of the U.S. Senate and rural voters are critical to wresting both seats away from the GOP column this November.
While Democrats point to the growing numbers of African-American and Latino voters as a sign of the state’s purple-trending demographics, the fact is that a significant infusion of rural voters in central and south Georgia will have to cast a ballot for Nunn if she is to defeat businessman David Perdue for the seat held by outgoing Republican Sen. Saxby Chambliss.
Keith McCants of tiny Oglethorpe, Ga. is perhaps his state’s most knowledgeable expert on rural politics, and he has a lot to say about what Nunn needs to do to be competitive over the final weeks in the rural counties.
McCants, who runs the respected Peanut Politics blog, said Nunn has two tasks in wooing rural voters. First, she must motivate “Obamacrats,” the rural black voters in the 1st, 2nd and 8th Congressional Districts who don’t come out to midterm elections like they do when Obama’s name is on the ballot. Second, McCants says Nunn needs independents and voters 55 and older to break her way. “Everyone assumes if you’re white and rural, you’re a Republican,” he laments.
McCants said he winced when Nunn’s campaign memo leaked out early this year, because the policy areas of agriculture, trade, infrastructure and rural issues were ranked at the very bottom of Nunn’s list. “She needs to talk about issues that resonate with rural areas,” McCants said, adding that Nunn should speak of her Methodist faith much more. “That’s something Democrats haven’t done a lot.”
“Nunn and Democrats in general have to over-perform in voter registration and expand the voting base in order to win in November. She is going to have to invest time outside of her big county strategy and into smaller counties such as Crisp, Tift, Ben Hill, Laurens, Tattnall, Troup counties, for example, in order to compensate for a low-expected turnout,” said McCants.
As for Nunn’s field operation, McCants notes places like Tifton and Waycross have no organizers while “Perdue has a ground game [in the rural counties] and its going strong.”
James Oglethorpe arrived at Augusta on September 12, 1739, 275 years ago today.
The Second Continental Congress opened in Philadelphia on September 13, 1775; Georgia was represented by Archibald Bulloch, Lyman Hall, John Houstoun, and John Zubly.
French troops arrived near Savannah to prepare for a siege against British forces there on September 12, 1779.
On September 13, 1788, the Confederation Congress voted to implement the Constitution and authorized states to elect Senators and Representatives and called the first Presidential election, with selection of presidential electors in the states to be held on January 7, 1789, and February 4, 1789 as the day electors would cast their ballots.
Francis Scott Key composed the lyrics to “The Star Spangled Banner” on September 14, 1814.
On September 14, 1885, Georgia Governor Henry McDaniel signed legislation granting up to 200 acres in Fulton and DeKalb Counties to the federal government to be used in the constuction of Fort McPherson, which was named after Union Maj. Gen. James McPherson, who was killed in the Battle of Atlanta in 1864.
On September 14, 1901, President William McKinley died of infection of gunshot wounds suffered eight days earlier.
The first two women to enter the Georgia General Assembly, Viola Ross Napier of Bibb County and Atlanta Constitution reporter Bessie Kempton of Fulton County, were elected on September 13, 1922.
A group of Georgia Republicans went to see Dr. Ben Carson speak at Valdosta State.
What’s wrong with Sunday elections?
Fulton County has added two Sunday voting dates with seven locations across the county open the first Sabbath voting day and nineteen locations the second. Lowndes County in South Georgia will add a Sunday voting location in Valdosta. (more…)
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