Your Washington Desk
From David Perdue U.S. Senate
Michelle Nunn Campaign Tied To Voter Registration Fraud Investigation
Using 501(c)(3) Organization For Partisan Politics
While Michelle Nunn’s campaign claims they have no role in the current voter registration fraud, it is clear from their own campaign plan that Michelle Nunn is directly tied to the potentially illegal activities under investigation.
As Michelle Nunn’s campaign plan indicates, she is relying on a 501(c)(3) organization, of which the New Georgia Project is a component, for voter registration efforts to “enlarge the electorate” by any means necessary:
Earlier this year, Michelle Nunn’s “kitchen cabinet” advisor Stacey Abrams launched an organization with the goal of registering 800,000 voters. As part of a 501(c)(3), the New Georgia Project doesn’t disclose its donors and it’s not registered with the state of Georgia. However, it cannot participate in partisan activities. Still, that hasn’t stopped Michelle Nunn’s closest allies from doing so.
Using this secret money, Abrams has worked to help get Michelle Nunn elected. (more…)
Your Georgia Desk
From Governor Nathan Deal
Deal: All Georgia counties named Camera Ready
Economic impact of the film and television industry hits $5.1 billion, Governor says
Gov. Nathan Deal and the Georgia Film, Music & Digital Entertainment Office, a division of the Georgia Department of Economic Development (GDEcD), today announced that all 159 Georgia counties have been designated Camera Ready. The state’s Camera Ready Community Program is the first of its kind in the nation, making Georgia the leader in offering a community-based production assistance program.
“Not only does this industry employ more than 77,900 Georgians, but it creates a sustainable environment with new infrastructure, more business opportunities for existing Georgia businesses and new educational programs through our universities and technical colleges,” said Deal. “I congratulate every community in Georgia for taking part in this statewide program and making our state a more attractive place for film and television production.”
The state’s Camera Ready Community Program was established in 2010 to help develop and sustain the burgeoning film and television industry by offering production companies access to local resources and information. (more…)
Your Washington – GA 8 – Desk
From Congressman Austin Scott
Congressman Austin Scott Holds 2014 Military Service Academy Day at Moody Air Force Base
Featured representatives from the offices of Sen. Chambliss, Sen. Isakson, and Rep. Kingston, University of North Georgia, and all five service academies
U.S. Congressman Austin Scott (GA-08) today held the 2014 Military Service Academy Day at Moody Air Force Base. The event provided Eighth Congressional District high school students, parents, and counselors the opportunity to learn about and speak with representatives from the five United States Military Academies and University of North Georgia Cadet Admissions.
“It was inspiring to see so many talented, young Georgians today who want to serve our country by joining the armed forces,” said Congressman Scott. “Their attendance is a testament to their strength of character. Our future leaders are among this dedicated group that will surely lead our country to a brighter future. I wish all applicants the best of luck as they pursue their goal of attending one of the U.S. Service Academies and serving in our military.”
Academy representatives from each military service academy, which include the U.S. Air Force Academy in Colorado Springs, Colorado, the U.S. Naval Academy in Annapolis, Maryland, the U.S. Military Academy in West Point, New York, the U.S. Merchant Marine Academy in Kings Point, New York, and the U.S. Coast Guard Academy in New London, Connecticut, were present (more…)
On September 15, 1831, Dr. Samuel Worcester and Dr. Elizur Butler – missionaries – were tried in a Lawrenceville courtroom for living as white people among the Cherokee and refusing to take an oath of loyalty to Georgia, convicted and sentenced to hard labor. Some historians refer to this case, which went as high as the United States Supreme Court on appeal, as the beginning of the events that led to the forced removal of the Cherokee people from Georgia on the “Trail of Tears.”
HMS Beagle, carrying Charles Darwin, arrived at the Gallapagos Islands on September 15, 1835.
On September 15, 1904, Wilbur Wright made the first in-flight turn in an airplane.
Early on the morning of September 15, 1963, a bomb exploded in the 16th Street Baptist Church in Birmingham, Alabama, killing four young girls.
On September 15, 1996, the Texas Rangers retired #34 in honor of the most dominant pitcher in professional baseball history, Nolan Ryan.
My apologies that we will not be bringing you the normally-scheduled programming this morning. We are on the road attending to a family medical emergency and will return to our normal programming tomorrow, Tuesday, September 16th.
Polls, what are they good for?
A number of new polls were released late last week, and we’re working on making sense of them. Here’s the analogy I would use for now. Say you hired five different carpenters to measure the size of your front door and they came up with different figures? A more apt analogy would be if you asked five different mechanics to measure the front door of your car as it was moving along the road.
A public opinion survey, or poll, is nothing more than an attempt to measure a complex system. It involves making estimates of what certain parameters, like African-American turnout, or regional variations between Metro Atlanta and South Georgia, as well as actually phoning a bunch of people who may or may not vote and asking them a series of questions.
The biggest problem with polls is that they attempt to present a single set of numbers to describe how the election is shaping up today, and people then try to draw conclusions about what will happen weeks from now on that basis.
WSB-TV’s Lori Geary presents several sets of numbers and discusses some of the issues that go into the election.
Ultimately, a poll, especially weeks out, is more like your child’s progress report than a final grade or a prediction of what will happen in the future. We’re looking for trends and the direction the poll is going, more than a single answer to the question, “who will win?”
So from the polls, I’d say it’s a very close race that will be decided in the final weeks as the real money and effort comes online. Beat that for making a prediction that sounds like it has substance but which provides no actual information.
Here’s what I usually look at in terms of public polling – the RealClearPolitics average is one of several similar models I track.
It’s the equivalent of taking the five carpenters’ measurements and averaging them. Generally speaking it’s a better measure than any single poll is likely to be.
I’m going to end on that note, as we have to go visit at the hospital again, but in closing I’ll say this: it is clear that the organizations that are polling the race have started to watch the local pollsters for information and predictions on African-American turnout. There’s one local pollster who has gone off the rails and should be disregarded. But if it weren’t for GaPundit raising the issue of what percentage African-American turnout will compose in November, none of the news organizations would be talking about it and the outside-Georgia pollsters would still be ignoring the question.
ATLANTA — The governor’s race remains tight but David Perdue now has a 10-point lead in the U.S. Senate contest, according to a poll released Friday.
Republican Nathan Deal holds support from 44 percent of the 1,167 likely voters surveyed Wednesday and Thursday by InsiderAdvantage. Democratic challenger Jason Carter has 40 percent, with a 3 percent margin of error. Libertarian Andrew Hunt has 7 percent, while 9 percent remain undecided..
The Senate election is widening, with Perdue rising to 50 percent against Democrat Michelle Nunn, who has 40 percent. Libertarian Amanda Swafford has 5 percent, with, 5 percent undecided.
On Monday, Atlanta TV station WXIA released a poll by SurveyUSA showing the governor’s race essentially tied. Deal had 45 percent to Carter’s 44 percent, with a 4 percent margin of error. In the Senate matchup, Perdue had 47 percent and Nunn 44 percent. The poll was conducted Sept. 5 of 558 likely voters.
via Poll shows tight governor’s race, Perdue building lead | The Augusta Chronicle.
A DeKalb County judge granted a request Friday by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution and Channel 2 Action News to make public about 38 documents that have been kept secret in the trial of suspended DeKalb CEO Burrell Ellis.
But Superior Court Judge Courtney Johnson didn’t follow through Friday, keeping the documents hidden at least until Monday. She hadn’t signed an order by the end of the business day, nearly six hours after she said in court she would unseal the records.
Prosecutors had sought to seal the records Aug. 22 because of concerns that media reports could taint potential jurors. On Friday, after a jury had been chosen, prosecutors didn’t oppose the AJC’s request to open the documents.
The AJC’s sought access to the records Monday in a legal filing that said the First Amendment of the U.S. Constitution gives the public and the press the right to view trial records, and that a hearing should have been held before documents were sealed.
“The United States Supreme Court has emphasized that public access to judicial records and proceedings is critical to the effective functioning not only of the particular proceeding in question, but to our entire system of self-government,” according to the motion.
via Judge agrees to reveal records in trial of DeKalb CEO Ellis | www.myajc.com.
The notion that African-American turnout will be dramatically lower than 2010 and 2012 is clearly wrong.
You will notice that African-Americans account for 24 percent of the sample, whereas they formed 28 percent of the electorate in 2010 and 30 percent in 2012 — and Democrats are mounting a big mobilization effort in the hopes that the number stays closer to 30 in a midterm year.
The poll initially weighted African-Americans at 30 percent of the sample, then applied a fairly tight likely voter screen, removing respondents who indicated that they were less engaged in the race or less likely to vote. Once those respondents were filtered out, the African-American vote share shrank.
“A lot here is going to depend on turnout, and if this is any indication, the black vote overall is not fully mobilized at this point,” said Mark Schulman, chief research officer at Abt SRBI. “And that’s critical.”
via AJC poll: Governor’s race in virtual tie, David Perdue has slight lead for Senate | Political Insider blog.
While an earlier AJC poll released today showed David Perdue leading Michelle Nunn by 6, InsiderAdvantage pegs the GOPer with a much more formidable edge of 10 percentage points.
Released this afternoon, it shows Perdue leading his Democratic rival by a 50-40 percent margin, meeting the threshold necessary to avoid a runoff. Libertarian Amanda Swafford claims from 5 percent of respondents, with the remaining 5 percent undecided.
As for the governor’s race, it shows Governor Nathan Deal leading Jason Carter by a slightly larger 44-40 percent margin, with Libertarian Andrew Hunt taking 7 percent support.
In a release of the numbers, it was noted that the African-American turnout was weighted at 33 percent, a figure higher than the roughly 30 percent turnout predicted by many onlookers.
via InsiderAdvantage: Perdue leads by 10, Deal up 4 – Georgia Tipsheet.