Atlanta Dem to manage campaign against Republican who beat Eric Cantor | Political Insider blog

Beth Cope was the campaign manager for Kyle Williams, who came out on the losing side in that bare-knuckled Democratic primary fight with Elena Parent over Jason Carter’s Decatur-centric state Senate seat.

Cope has rebounded quite well. She’ll be directing the Virginia congressional campaign of Jack Trammell, the Democratic opponent (and a fellow Randolph-Macon professor) of David Brat — the Republican who knocked off House Majority Leader Eric Cantor.

via Atlanta Dem to manage campaign against Republican who beat Eric Cantor | Political Insider blog.

Civil War scion: Ringgold mayor is living history, for more reasons than one | Times Free Press

RINGGOLD, Ga. — City Hall here has Civil War history on its walls: framed battle maps, a mural of soldiers fighting, a painting memorializing an unknown Confederate who died defending Ringgold Gap.

Ringgold has some living history, too: A mayor who’s one generation removed from the Civil War.

Mayor Joe Barger’s grandfather — that’s right, his grandfather — Jacob A. Barger served as a private for the South in North Carolina’s infantry.

“He was born in 1833,” Barger said. “So it’s 96 years’ difference between when he was born, and I was born.”

The births were spaced that way because both Barger’s grandfather and father married younger women after their first wives died.

Being the grandson of a Civil War soldier is so unusual, the 84-year-old mayor said, that when he tells people about it, “I don’t think they believe me.”

Barger’s photo hangs on City Hall’s wall, too. It’s one of 16 photos of mayors in office since 1919.

via Civil War scion: Ringgold mayor is living history, for more reasons than one | Times Free Press.

Timothy Ray Murray Isn’t A Robot – Business Insider

Timothy Ray Murray is running to represent Oklahoma’s Third Congressional District, and his website lays out the issues he stands for — balancing the budget and protecting agriculture. However, he’s also got a unique element of his platform. Murray insists he’s not “a robot look-alike”:

Murray felt the need to point this out because he believes the incumbent in the district, Rep. Frank Lucas is a robot! On his webpage, Murray claims the real Lucas was killed by the World Court over three years ago and replaced with an automaton.

“Rep. Frank Lucas, and a few other Oklahoma and other States’ Congressional Members were depicted as being executed by The World Court on or about Jan. 11, 2011 in Southern Ukraine. On television they were depicted as being executed by the hanging about the neck until death on a white stage and in front of witnesses,” Murray wrote. “Other now current Members of Congress have shared those facts on television also. We know that it is possible to use look alike artificial or man-made replacements, however Rep. Lucas was not eligible to serve as a Congressional Member after that time.”

Furthermore, Murray claims the Defense Department is in on the scheme and it isn’t the first time a human political candidate has been replaced with an artificially intelligent look-alike:

This is a situation similar to the Senators’ from Kentucky situation in the 2012 election. I am contesting that this matter has happen since his election was blocked, because of the U.S. Defense Department’s use of Mr. Murray’s DNA. To my knowledge, the U.S. Defense Department has not released to the public that information, as it is their confidential information about many people. Congress is likely wanting me to state that all my DNA used will not result in benefits to people I have never had relations with of a family nature. I have been bound to protect that information unless it causes harm to The People.

via Timothy Ray Murray Isn’t A Robot – Business Insider.

State bar asks for investigation into House Speaker Ralston | www.wsbtv.com

Investigators have asked the Supreme Court for a special master to look into allegations that Ralston violated several bar rules during an injury accident case he handled for several years.

State bar investigators [filed] a petition with the state Supreme Court Thursday, accusing Ralston of violating nine rules of professional conduct, including having a conflict of interest, not communicating, not expediting the case, and misusing funds.

State bar investigators said time after time, Ralston put his duties as speaker of the house above his clients, using what’s called legislative leave.

Ralston’s spokesman released a statement Thursday night saying the speaker “takes any charges about his professional conduct as an attorney very seriously. While he will continue to vigorously defend his professional reputation against these accusations of technical violations of State Bar rules, he will do so by continuing to fully cooperate with the investigation.”

Ralston’s spokesman released a statement Thursday night saying the speaker “takes any charges about his professional conduct as an attorney very seriously. While he will continue to vigorously defend his professional reputation against these accusations of technical violations of State Bar rules, he will do so by continuing to fully cooperate with the investigation.”

via State bar asks for investigation into House Speaker Ralston | www.wsbtv.com.

Governor Nathan Deal shows gain in poll over GOP opponents Jason Carter, Andrew Hunt | The Augusta Chronicle

The survey for Morris News and Fox 5 of Atlanta by InsiderAdvantage shows Deal leading 47 percent to Carter’s 40 percent and Hunt’s 3 percent. Ten percent of those questioned were undecided when reached by automated telephone or online Monday and Tuesday. The poll included 1,349 likely voters for a 2.7 percent margin of error.

“Losing ground in the polls while running advertising is a very bad sign. The best Carter could likely hope for would be to keep Governor Deal under 50 percent (plus one vote), as required to win, and force him into a winter runoff,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery.

Towery’s poll showed just 41 percent of Georgians surveyed approve of President Barack Obama’s job performance while 58 percent disapprove. Only 1 percent had no opinion.

“Carter’s problems don’t end with a poor campaign strategy. Both he and Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate, Michelle Nunn, are saddled with an immensely unpopular Democratic President Obama as their party mate,” Towery said. “Nunn will have a greater difficulty distancing herself from Obama, given that the issues in her race are federal and relate directly to the president. However, Carter’s failure to take on Deal’s weaknesses straight out of the gate, combined with the unpopularity of the president, might spell doom for his effort, too.”

via Governor Nathan Deal shows gain in poll over GOP opponents Jason Carter, Andrew Hunt | The Augusta Chronicle.

Adoptable Georgia Dogs for June 27, 2014

Over the last several days, I’ve received several emails from people who drank the Kool-Aid support Barry Loudermilk for Congress, saying, in essence, “it’s a shame that you’re printing nasty stuff about Barry Loudermilk. I feel sorry for the dogs that will die in animal control because of it.”

Real classy.

Seems like these folks have taken to heart Atlanta Mayor Kasim Reed’s dictum, “if you’re going to take hostages, you’d better be ready to shoot the hostages.”

Rhett

Rhett is a young male Cocker Spaniel who just doesn’t give a damn whether he’s supposed to be on the chair or not.

Rhett has become great with the other 4 dogs in his foster home and has stopped all signs of being possessive with his food. It’s obvious that he can overcome anything. Rhett’s trust has to be earned and his forever home must be patient with him. Time and a kind hearted family is all that Rhett needs to be a wonderfully, happy, balanced dog. He is such a special boy who just wants so badly to be nurtured, loved and cared for.

Rhett is available for adoption from Life’s Little Paws of Alpharetta in Alpharetta, GA.

Scarlett

Scarlett is a young female Boston Terrier mix puppy who is available for adoption from Animal Ark in Columbus, GA.

Ashley

Ashley is a female American Bulldog mix puppy. She can be shy in a doggie play group but may do okay with another dog in the home so a meet-and-greet will be necessary in determining compatibility. Ashley really loves people and likes to be by your side without being overly needy for attention. Given her touch of shyness, older kids (over age 12) in the home may be more ideal than small children. She responds to some commands and corrections but can use some work in learning not to pull on the leash during walks. If you think you’re the patient and caring person to commit to this girl, spend some time with her.

Ashley is available for adoption from the Atlanta Humane Society in Alpharetta, GA.

Tyra

Tyra (above) is a medium-sized, mixed breed female who is in the Canine Cellmates program at the Fulton County Jail. She’s ready for a new home and needs to find one soon so they can rescue the next class of dogs who help inmates learn responsibility and marketable skills to reduce recidivism.

Below is Taz, a female pit bull mix who is also in the Canine Cellmates program and in need of a new home. She will make a wonderful companion for a family who wants a young, fun dog without the fuss of a puppy. She’s Canine Good Citizen certified and is such a snuggly love bug. She gets along great with dogs and people and deserves a chance for a happy ending. Taz is approximately 2 – 3 years old and is a fun, lively, happy little lady!

Contact [email protected] if you’re interested in meeting either of these dogs for possible adoption.

Taz Jail

Angels Town Brookhaven

Angels Among Us is having three pet adoption days in Metro Atlanta this weekend, including Saturday at Town Brookhaven, at Petco Holcomb Bridge in Roswell, and at PetSmart in Cumming.

Georgia Politics, Campaigns, and Elections for June 27, 2014

NOTE: Early and advanced voting begins Monday, June 30th, for the Primary Runoff Elections being held on May 20th. Check with your local board of elections for dates, times, and locations.

On June 29, 1565, Pedro Menéndez de Avilés sailed from Cadiz, Spain to invade Florida.

Johan De Kalb was born on June 29, 1721 in Germany. In 1777, De Kalb joined the Marquis de Lafayette in supporting the Americans against British forces, dying in Camden, South Carolina in 1780. In 1822, the Georgia General Assembly created DeKalb County.

On June 28, 1742, Spanish forces based in Florida invaded Georgia.

On June 28, 1776, Thomas Jefferson’s second draft of the Declaration of Independence was presented to the Second Continental Congress in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Click here for a comparison of the first, second, and final drafts of the Declaration.

On June 27, 1864, Sherman’s Union forces attacked General Johnston’s Confederates at the Battle of Kennesaw Mountain. Kennesaw Mountain Battlefield Park is hosting a commemoration for the 150th Anniversary through Sunday.

One year later, the Military Department of Georgia was created to oversee Reconstruction in the state.

On June 28, 1887, John Pemberton patented Coca-Cola Syrup and Extract.

Austrian Archduke Franz Ferdinand was assassinated in Sarajevo, Bosnia on June 28, 1914, sparking the First World War.

The Gone with the Wind scene that includes the line, “Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn,” was filmed on June 27, 1939, along with an alternate that used the line, “Frankly, my dear, I just don’t care.”

The United States Supreme Court released its 5-4 opinion in Furman v. Georgia on June 29, 1972, holding that the death penalty violated the Constitution’s ban on cruel and unusual punishment.

On this date in 1982, “Don’t You Want Me,” by the Human League was number two on the top forty. If you want to know how much of a geek I am, I spent that summer (I turned 11) at computer camp at Ohio State University, monkeying around with IBM PCs.

On June 29, 1993, Governor Zell Miller bought the first ticket in the Georgia Lottery.

Space Shuttle Atlantis docked with the Russian Space Station Mir on June 29, 1995.

New Poll shows advantage Deal

A new poll by InsiderAdvantage for Fox 5 and Morris News shows Governor Deal with a 7-point lead over Democratic challenger Jason Carter.

The survey for Morris News and Fox 5 of Atlanta by InsiderAdvantage shows Deal leading 47 percent to Carter’s 40 percent and Hunt’s 3 percent. Ten percent of those questioned were undecided when reached by automated telephone or online Monday and Tuesday. The poll included 1,349 likely voters for a 2.7 percent margin of error.

Independent surveys released as recently as last month showed Carter in the lead, but that was before Deal’s campaign began attacking him and before the Republican Governors Association let loose multiple negative television ads. Carter was airing introductory spots that didn’t threaten the governor.

“Losing ground in the polls while running advertising is a very bad sign. The best Carter could likely hope for would be to keep Governor Deal under 50 percent (plus one vote), as required to win, and force him into a winter runoff,” said InsiderAdvantage CEO Matt Towery.

Towery notes that Carter will still have a tough time escaping association with the unpopular Obamacare. That’s been the focus of one of the first ads attacking him for supporting its provision to expand Medicaid in the state.

Towery’s poll showed just 41 percent of Georgians surveyed approve of President Barack Obama’s job performance while 58 percent disapprove. Only 1 percent had no opinion.

“Carter’s problems don’t end with a poor campaign strategy. Both he and Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate, Michelle Nunn, are saddled with an immensely unpopular Democratic President Obama as their party mate,” Towery said. “Nunn will have a greater difficulty distancing herself from Obama, given that the issues in her race are federal and relate directly to the president. However, Carter’s failure to take on Deal’s weaknesses straight out of the gate, combined with the unpopularity of the president, might spell doom for his effort, too.”

Perdue releases internal poll that shows him leading

David Perdue’s campaign released a poll yesterday that they claim shows Perdue leading in the Senate Primary Runoff.

Our most recent internal poll shows us with the lead over Congressman Kingston and David’s favorability and name recognition increasing.

David Perdue: 45%
Congressman Kingston: 44%

It should be noted that this is the first poll using updated voter data from the primary. It is also the first poll conducted since our campaign went back up on TV with our new ad.

Internal polls by a campaign will be released only if they’re favorable for that campaign, and this is no exception. Unfavorable news will be buried. The only issue I have with this poll is the way they asked the ballot question – the only question that really matters. According to the polling memo, they asked:

If the Republican primary election for United States Senate were held today, for whom would you vote…. David Perdue or Jack Kingston?

There are two right ways to ask the ballot question, and they didn’t use either. One way commonly used is to randomize the order of the candidates, in order to diminish the “ballot order effect.”

Students in introductory psychology classes learn a phenomenon known as primacy effect: our tendency to remember items at the top of a list better than those in the middle or near the bottom. Having read the first items, we pay less attention to those that come later either because we are bored or because we are processing the information we saw at the top of the list.

This effect was classically demonstrated by psychologist Solomon Asch in 1946 when he presented subjects with the same list of positive and negative adjectives describing a person, listing either the positive ones (intelligent, industrious, etc.) or the negative ones (envious, stubborn, etc.) first. When asked to rate the person, those who were given positive adjectives earlier in the list consistently rated the person higher than those who were given negative ones first.

This same effect applies during elections, as the order of candidates on ballots can favor those listed first. For example, statistical analysis of over 20 years of elections in California shows that the so-called “ballot order effect” may have changed the winner in up to 12% of the primaries in the state.

The effect is much more significant for non-partisan elections or for small local elections where voters know little about candidates and are not divided among party lines. The effect is less pronounced in large, well-advertised elections where voters are more likely to have selected a candidate before coming to the polls.

While the Senate runoff meets the criteria of “large, well-advertisied elections,” in which the ballot order effect is minimized, it may still be enough to bias a survey by one percentage point, which, in my mind makes the Perdue “lead” dubious.

The other “right” way to ask the ballot question, and my preferred method, is to list the candidates exactly in the order they will be on the ballot. Here’s how they’re listed:

Georgia Republican Senate Runoff Sample Ballot

[As an aside, you can visit the Secretary of State's My Voter Page to see a sample ballot for your local elections.]

The reason for doing this is precisely to include the ballot order effect in the poll results; if we know it exists and can affect an election, I think we want it included in our polling.

This is why it’s important to see the form of the questions: because they asked the question incorrectly, I conclude that the “Perdue lead” probably doesn’t exist.

Speaker David Ralston under fire

The Georgia State Bar Association has asked for an investigation into Georgia House Speaker David Ralston’s handling of private clients at the same time he performs public duties as Speaker.

Investigators have asked the Supreme Court for a special master to look into allegations that Ralston violated several bar rules during an injury accident case he handled for several years.

State bar investigators [filed] a petition with the state Supreme Court Thursday, accusing Ralston of violating nine rules of professional conduct, including having a conflict of interest, not communicating, not expediting the case, and misusing funds.

State bar investigators said time after time, Ralston put his duties as speaker of the house above his clients, using what’s called legislative leave.

Ralston’s spokesman released a statement Thursday night saying the speaker “takes any charges about his professional conduct as an attorney very seriously. While he will continue to vigorously defend his professional reputation against these accusations of technical violations of State Bar rules, he will do so by continuing to fully cooperate with the investigation.”

While an investigation alleging conflicts of interest is likely as fun as a months-long colonscopy, I don’t believe this damages the Speaker’s standing within his chamber.

Loudermilk still under fire over military record

[In case I haven't made this abundantly clear in the past, I have performed work for the Bob Barr Congress campaign for which I have been paid money. Make of it what you will.]

The Marietta Daily Journal writes that Barry Loudermilk’s depiction of his military service remains an issue dogging his Congressional campaign, as a small group of veterans continued questioning it yesterday.

For the second time in three days, a group of veterans led by retired U.S. Army Col. Larry Mrozinski met in downtown Smyrna to call Barry Loudermilk’s military record into question.
Mrozinski was joined by east Cobb’s Bill Stanley and Canton resident Scott McElroy, as the group went into detail about a record they say the candidate has exaggerated in speeches and forums.
“He has clearly stated things about himself that he is not,” Mrozinski said. “We are very disappointed.”

Statements from Loudermilk during forums include, “I’ll commit to you as someone who knows the importance of national defense. I’ve lived in that arena. I worked in that arena, and as an aviator — as a pilot — I know the value and the importance that our aerospace and our airpower has,” according to Stanley.
Loudermilk has also recalled class discussions about “aerospace engineering and flight physics” during his time in the Air Force.
Though Loudermilk has a pilot’s license today, Mrozinski and Stanley have said his statements strongly imply he was a pilot in the military. But, according to the group, Loudermilk was never a pilot in the Air Force. They also say his service records offer no indication Loudermilk ever enrolled in classes about aerospace engineering and flight physics.

Dan McLagan, spokesman for Loudermilk, said the accusations are an ineffective smear campaign.
“They’re drowning in a pool of their own blood,” McLagan said. “They’re getting slaughtered online. It’s brutal. They try to make an accusation when there’s no accusation. We released all the stuff they wanted.”

Karen Handel Condemns David Perdue’s Disrespect for Grassroots

Candidate says grassroots Republican involvement ‘got us in this mess’

ATLANTA, GA – Former Secretary of State Karen Handel released the following statement condemning David Perdue’s comments in the Atlanta Journal Constitution implying grassroots Republican involvement “got us in this mess”:

“I am dismayed by David Perdue’s condescending, disrespectful comments about the wonderful people that are the GOP grassroots. These men and women are the heart and soul of both the Republican Party and the broader conservative movement. They man the phone banks, knock on doors, walk in the parades, and, yes, lick the envelopes containing materials about our Party’s message and its candidates. (more…)

WASHINGTON: GOP still faces war with tea party | Congress | McClatchy DC

Todd Rehm, an Atlanta-based Republican consultant, warned against reading too much into the Mississippi result, noting that the state’s Republican establishment had two unique assets: former Gov. Haley Barbour and former Sen. Trent Lott.

“Most states don’t have two Washington lobbying/establishment titans who have kept their fingers on the pulse of home state politics,” Rehm said.

via WASHINGTON: GOP still faces war with tea party | Congress | McClatchy DC.

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