At town hall, delegation member pledges DeKalb reforms – Decaturish

If you live in DeKalb County, and especially in one of the proposed new cities, the entire article at Decaturish is worth reading.

First things first, state Rep. Mike Jacobs, R-Brookhaven, said during an Oct. 21 town hall with other members of the DeKalb delegation.

Before legislation to create a new city of Tucker, Briarcliff or Lakeside comes up for discussion, the delegation must fix DeKalb.

Jacobs said proposals to reform the county’s ethics board, its auditing process, and its purchasing process must take priority over new cities.

“I am 100 percent certain that the vast majority of citizens all across this county, north, south east and west agree with that,” Jacobs said, to applause. “And if we don’t act then shame on us, period.”

via At town hall, delegation member pledges DeKalb reforms – Decaturish.

The Democrats’ Path Of Last Resort Is Georgia | FiveThirtyEight

The dynamics of a potential runoff are a bit unclear but probably somewhat unfavorable to Nunn:

Georgia’s Senate race went to a runoff in 2008, and Democratic candidate Jim Martin performed drastically worse than he did on the November ballot. But 2008 was a presidential year. There might not be such a disproportionate drop in Democratic turnout in an off-year election.

The runoff, if the outcome of the Senate was still undecided, could turn into a referendum on party control. Voters might place more emphasis on the party identification of the candidates and less on the qualities of the individual candidates. That probably helps Perdue because Georgia is Republican-leaning (although becoming less so).

A third-party candidate, Libertarian Amanda Swafford, would not appear on the runoff ballot. As a group, voters who hold libertarian positions are more Republican-leaning than Democratic-leaning, which could help Perdue. However, Swafford’s positions are split pretty much down the middle between the major parties. Although fiscally conservative, she supports same-sex marriage, marijuana legalization and a reduced U.S. military presence. She’s more of a Gary Johnson Libertarian than a Rand Paul type.

So, there’s a good deal of uncertainty. But the FiveThirtyEight forecast now has Nunn with a 40 percent chance of winning — just slightly worse than a coin flip.

Technically speaking, that projection doesn’t distinguish the Nov. 4 ballot from the runoff. If pollsters were testing a two-way matchup without Stafford on the ballot and trying to evaluate how turnout might differ in a runoff, we might do something more sophisticated, like running separate simulations of the Nov 4. and runoff ballots. Unfortunately, almost none of the pollsters are doing that, so 40 percent has to serve as our stand-in for Nunn’s overall chances of winning the Senate seat.

via The Democrats’ Path Of Last Resort Is Georgia | FiveThirtyEight.

Nunn leads Senate race; Deal and Carter tied | The Augusta Chronicle

The Augusta Chronicle story has changed and now reads:

Pollsters weighted the responses to reflect an anticipated turnout in which 30 percent of the voters are black and 55 percent are female.

Assuming that 37% of voters in November will be African-American is either delusional, or the results were weighted to put the Senate and Governor’s races smack in the middle of what everyone else’s says. This is what FiveThirtyEight refers to as “herding.” Why would they do this?

Herding is the tendency of some polling firms to be influenced by others when issuing poll results. A pollster might want to avoid publishing a poll if it perceives that poll to be an outlier. Or it might have a poor methodology and make ad hoc adjustments so that its poll is more in line with a stronger one.

There’s a reason the polling firm here is among the very lowest-rated by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.

The closer the election gets, the harder it is to tell who is going to win, according to a poll released today showing the races for governor and the Senate effectively tied.

Democrat Michelle Nunn’s 47 percent gives her a slight lead in the Senate race over Republican David Perdue’s 45 percent, but the survey’s 4 percent margin of error means they’re statistically in a dead heat less than two weeks before Election Day. Libertarian Amanda Swafford’s 4 percent could trigger a January runoff by preventing Nunn from getting a majority. Another 4 percent haven’t made up their minds yet.

In the contest for governor, Republican Nathan Deal and Democrat Jason Carter each command 44 percent while Libertarian Andrew Hunt is taking 5 percent. Eight percent of those surveyed were still mulling over the choices.

The poll of 704 general-election voters was conducted by automated questionnaires via cellphone and landline Tuesday and Wednesday by InsiderAdvantage and Opinion Savvy on behalf of Morris News Service and Fox5. Pollsters weighted the responses to reflect an anticipated turnout where 37 percent of the voters are black and 55 percent are female.

via Nunn leads Senate race; Deal and Carter tied | The Augusta Chronicle.

GAGOP Chair John Padgett: Richard Woods the right fit for State School Superintendent

Atlanta, Georgia) – With less than two weeks until Election Day, Georgia Republican Party Chairman John Padgett released the following statement of support for Richard Woods, the Republican nominee for State School Superintendent:

“When it comes to voting in the November 4 election, it’s important for Georgians to know that every race on the ballot – from Governor down to city council – is important.

“In the race to be Georgia’s leading voice in education, Richard Woods is the right fit for State School Superintendent. An accomplished teacher, trusted administrator, and inspiring visionary, Richard will work to strengthen our schools and enhance educational opportunities for our children and grandchildren.

“I encourage Georgia voters to join me in backing Richard Woods for State School Superintendent. He will work tirelessly with Governor Deal and leadership in the Georgia General Assembly to ensure that our state’s best and brightest days are always ahead.”

AUDIO – President Obama on V-103 Atlanta Radio – If Michelle Nunn Wins: Democrats Take Senate, Advance Our Agenda

Your Washington Desk

via The Republican National Committee

AUDIO: President Obama on V-103 radio in Atlanta: If Nunn Wins: Democrats Take Senate, Advance Our Agenda

In an interview that aired on Tuesday 10/21/14, President Obama called into The Ryan Cameron Morning Show with Wanda Smith on V-103 in Atlanta, Georgia and discussed how electing Michelle Nunn would ensure Democrats controlled the Senate and advance his agenda.

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Jason Shepherd: How that Selfie at a Polling Place May Put You in Danger of Prosecution

Your Georgia Desk

From  Jason Shepherd

FORMER GOP COUNSEL WARNS OF COMMON ELECTION LAW VIOLATIONS PEOPLE MAKE WHILE VOTING

Your Georgia Desk

From Jason Shepherd

FORMER GOP COUNSEL WARNS OF COMMON ELECTION LAW VIOLATIONS PEOPLE MAKE WHILE VOTING

How that Selfie at a Polling Place May Put You in Danger of Prosecution

We use smart phones and social media to document many parts of our lives, but one place it might not be so wise to document your activities with your camera phone is in the voting booth, which is exactly what many Georgians are doing.

Between the fact that nearly every phone now has a camera on it and those phones are linked to social media, it is becoming more and more common to see people post pictures or video while they are doing one of the most important things they can do; voting.

“It has become so prevalent that I have added the issue to my presentation on campaign finance and election laws that I give to candidates and party activists around the state.” says Jason Shepherd, an Atlanta attorney who served as General Counsel of both the Cobb County Republican Party and the Young Republican National Federation. “I’ve also had to warn people not to take selfies of themselves and a campaign sticker for their candidate within the 150 feet limit of a polling place.” (more…)

New Poll shows Georgians concerned about proposed EPA Power Plant Regulations

Strongest Opposition Voiced in Hardest-Hit States

WASHINGTON – Polling data released today by the Partnership for a Better Energy Future (PBEF), a coalition of 175 members representing nearly every segment of the U.S. economy, finds that voters in Georgia and nationwide have major concerns about the EPA’s proposed greenhouse gas regulations and are unwilling to pay even a dollar more for energy in exchange for these new rules.

Findings from a national survey of 1,340 likely voters and a statewide survey of 953 likely voters in Georgia conducted earlier this month by Paragon Insights include the following: (more…)

Adoptable Georgia Dogs for October 23, 2014

These beautiful dogs are all available for adoption from the Meriwether County Animal Shelter, where the adoption fee is $50.

Ellie Mae

Ellie Mae is a year-old Great Pyrenees/Labrador Retriever mix who is available for adoption from Meriwether County Animal Shelter in Greenville, Ga.

Danny

Danny is a young male Retriever mix who was found on the street with an injured foot and turned in to the animal shelter; he has healed, and he’s full of puppy energy and affection. Danny is available for adoption from the Meriwether County Animal Shelter in Greenville, Ga.

Chris

Chris is a young male Great Pyrenees/Labrador Retriever mix who is very friendly and is available for adoption from Meriwether County Animal Shelter in Greenville, Ga.

Ashley

Ashley is a young female Retriever mix who is available for adoption from Meriwether County Animal Shelter in Greenville, Ga.

Mary Kate

Ashley is Mary Kate’s best friend, a young female terrier mix who gets along very well with other dogs. This young, friendly pup came in with her bestie and they’d prefer a forever home together, but are available separately. Ashley is available for adoption from Meriwether County Animal Shelter in Greenville, GA.

Georgia Politics, Campaigns, and Elections for October 23, 2014

On the Presidential campaign trail, Franklin Delano Roosevelt arrived in Atlanta on October 23, 1932, speaking to 10,000, and continued on to his “second home” at Warm Springs, Georgia.

smFDR Atlanta 1932

FDR campaigning in Atlanta and Georgia in 1932.

FDR Georgia

When he arrived at Warm Springs, FDR gave a short speech:

“Two more weeks to go. . . . First, let me say this: this old hat, a lot of you people have seen it before. It’s the same hat. But I don’t think it is going to last much longer after the 8th of November. I have a superstition about hats in campaigns, and I am going to wear it until midnight of the 8th of November. . . . Well, it’s fine to see, and I’m looking forward to coming down here for the usual Thanksgiving party at Warm Springs, and having a real old-fashioned Thanksgiving with my neighbors again. I thank you!”

On October 23, 1971, the Coca-Cola Company launched the advertising campaign “I’d Like to Teach the World to Sing.”

Georgia-born Clarence Thomas was sworn in as an Associate Justice of the United States Supreme Court on October 23, 1991.

An Ignominious End to John Barge’s Political Career

It is being widely reported that Republican (in name only) State School Superintendent John Barge will endorse Democrat Valarie Wilson today in a campaign event.

Sitting State School Superintendent Dr. John Barge (R) will join State School Superintendent Candidate Valarie Wilson (D) to make a special announcement and host a press conference on Thursday at 12 p.m. in front of Tucker High, 5036 LaVista Road, Tucker.

This brings Republican State School Superintendents who ended their political careers at their own hands to three. If you recall, Linda Schrenko ran for Governor in 2002 and was later convicted of embezzlement; Kathy Cox filed for personal bankruptcy in 2008 and resigned in 2010 to take a job in the private sector. Now Barge, who ran for Governor this year and appears to have spent the rest of his time seeking employment elsewhere without much success.

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